With the first-ever direct Iranian attack on Israeli soil, the Israeli–Palestinian conflict has become more contentious now than ever. Considering such significance, the Israeli–Palestinian conflict has become an increasingly important political topic, with Biden's rhetoric and actions in the Middle East resulting in mixed perceptions regarding his electoral chances.

In the article "Israel's War in Gaza Became a Political Flashpoint. Will It Risk Biden's Coalition for Reelection?" authors Tal Axelrod and Gabriella Abdul-Hakim contend that Biden's support for Israel may affect his chances for reelection. With the "policy (of Biden) being unpopular in the Democratic Party," Biden himself might drive away votes. Converse to Axelrod and Abdul-Hakim, Thomas Gift & Julie Norman argue that the war in Gaza will not affect the president's chances, citing the lack in movement of Biden's poll numbers over time even after the start of the conflict.
References:
Axelrod, Tal, and Gabriella Abdul-Hakim. ABC News, ABC News Network, abcnews.go.com/Politics/israels-war-gaza-political-flashpoint-risk-bidens-coalition/story?id=108962662. Accessed 24 Apr. 2024.
Gift, Thomas, and Julie Norman. “Why the War in Gaza Won’t Thwart Biden’s Reelection.” The Hill, The Hill, 5 Mar. 2024, thehill.com/opinion/international/4510546-why-the-war-in-gaza-wont-thwart-bidens-reelection/.
Thanks for sharing, Connor. It will be interesting to see who comes out on top of this year's election. Just like how Covid greatly affected Trump's numbers, I will be curious to see if this conflict will affect Biden's.
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